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Coronavirus does America

Published February 28, 2020

Author George Hopkinson

Markets remain firmly focused on Coronavirus developments with economic data largely taking a back seat at the moment.  Global equities have continued to fall, oil prices are down, and US Treasury rates are approaching record lows.  On the currency front the US Dollar has been hit overnight amid concerns the virus is already spreading across the Country.  The Australian Dollar has recovered some of its recent losses on the back of the weaker USD.

The US dollar is down against most majors today as markets bet that the US Fed will cut interest rates to help soften the expected coronavirus blow to the world’s largest economy.  Markets have fully priced in a 25-basis point rate cut at the next Fed meeting in April.  Better than expected durable goods and steady GDP data released overnight did little to support the USD.

The main data event will be Chinese Manufacturing PMI to be released tomorrow.  The question being how much it has dropped given the widespread travel bans and factory shutdowns due to the Coronavirus outbreak.  The data is released tomorrow afternoon, so won’t impact markets until Monday morning’s opening.

 

 

 

Adam Nikitins and Stewart McCallum were appointed Joint and Several Voluntary Administrators of EncoreFX (Australia) Pty Ltd on 30 March 2020.

Rees Logan, Adam Nikitins and Stewart McCallum were appointed Joint and Several Voluntary Administrators of EncoreFX (NZ) Limited on 30 March 2020.

Any queries regarding the Administrations should be directed to encorefx@au.ey.com.