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Aussie higher on weaker US Data

Published December 3, 2019

Author Steve Oram

A roller coaster ride for the Aussie in the last 24 hours, disappointing local data was offset by good news from China and then weak US Data to see the AUD bounce from one and a half month lows. China may be seeing some recovery as factory activity improved in November and growth was up to near 3 year highs.

USD Falls on Weak Factory Activity

The USD dropped after a weaker than expected ISM manufacturing survey, which fell to 48.1 in November missing forecasts of 49.2 and down from September’s 48.3.

Also in the US, President Trump announced that he will immediately reinstate tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from Brazil and Argentina.  Trump suggested that the two countries are purposely devaluing their currencies in order to gain an economic advantage.  In typical Trump fashion, the US President also took the opportunity to repeat his disdain for the Fed and their monetary policy stance.

Australia Data Disappoints Ahead of RBA Rate Announcement 

In Australia, data disappointed with November building approvals down a massive 8.1%, while company profits fell along with productivity.

The Reserve Bank of Australia meet this afternoon with expectations for rates to remain on hold at 0.75%, however comments are expected to be more Dovish from Governor Lowe and markets expecting a rate cut to 0.5% in February 2020.